Quickfire reviews of these 3 IPO’s for today. If you are new to IPO’s, my primer on them is below. Everyone else can skip straight to the players.
IPO's 101
The first thing to know is that on the day of an IPO, who is actually good long term or not doesn’t have much to do with who will get bought heavily as soon as they are released.
It’s how much they fit the hype trends that matters on day one and “attacking player, big club, usually young” is all the analysis you really need to know who will get bought first.
However, knowing who the real prospects are is still valuable because it means we know whether buying and holding them is worth it even after any initial price rise. And we need to know which ones we should dump fast if we do buy them and manage to get a profit.
As for the process…
Getting on IPO’s early is truly awful. You get a random time window where they may release and if you really want to get them for the IPO price you have to sit there constantly refreshing your page the whole time.
It’s frustrating. And then when it does happen, you will be beaten to it by bots and possibly by other people who were just that bit quicker. If you are 20-30 seconds late? Probably too late.
So, personally, I just don’t bother with all that unless there is a rare gem that I really, really want. On the upside, if you do pull it off, you can get a bargain.
However, it’s a snake pit. Most people have no idea whether the IPOs are any good or not and are simply trying to flip them. So if you do miss the initial rise do not chase into it unless you are certain there is something worth buying and the price is still right (AND you can stomach a drop to flippers).
Personally, unless I think there is a real gem I let the price settle for a day and then have a look at it then.
And one final thing. Most IPOs are long shots these days. If they are established players they are generally on the Index already.
Even a “good” one is probably a long way from breaking through and the risk of them failing is usually high even for the best ones.
You either need to be flipping them or have iron patience. They are high risk trades and that is why you have to be getting them at rock bottom prices.
That said, let’s see if we can find any talent!
IPO's 17/01/2020
Really not much here beyond a couple of potential hype flips.
Tanganga would be the best of them, as minutes for Spurs could drive the price. A decent flip, but not much long term potential. Short reviews below.
Method:
star rating, the usual potential performance rating members know and love. (Bear in mind I often just have youth league data to work with on IPO’s so they are even more long range than usual but I generally have a fair idea).
And a second star rating which is the hype factor (how much interest I think they will get at release).
If I have any particular comments about the players I’ll add that at the end.
The players I think will get the most hype are at the top.
Player Ratings
- Japhet Tanganga - Potential:
Hype: 
- Mohamed Simakan - Potential:
Hype: 
- Daichi Kamada - Potential: Hype:
Comments
Japhet Tanganga
20 year old Spurs centre back coming through the ranks and making senior appearances.
That can be enough to get him hype, so if you happen to see him early at his 90p starting price, a flip is viable.
However, longer term prospects are not good for this money.
He is IPOing way above the price of existing Spurs CB’s, which is a red flag in itself.
He’s got some decent numbers for a CB but even the best CB’s struggle on FI due to a lack of end product.
A good flip if you can get it – not recommended as a long term hold.
My expectation would be him playing out similar to a Fikayo Tomori, decent rise, fairly sharp fall.
Daichi Kamada
23 year old Eintracht midfielder, Japanese.
Not really much in the way of hype factors.
Has been getting minutes for Eintracht recently, goal and assist potential isn’t bad. At 70p… it’s not awful but it feels like a bang average selection.
Also currently injured probably until February.
Mohamed Simakan
19 year old Strasbourg right back/CB. Has featured for France U20.
Some loose transfer rumours to small EPL clubs, but the price tag may see him stay at Strasbourg. With the transfer dividend live, he could get interest.
Looks to have good potential as a good future CB or RB in reality, not so much on FI on his career stats so far.
Outside of the possible transfer flip, I can’t see any reasons to be holding this.