The recovery has sustained which is great news. I haven’t had to cover any unexpected announcements. Or do emergency Live Blogs on Saturday after a crash.

I’ve just been focusing on cranking out actual FI football content. Which is how it should be. We just need a period of calm and like I said a few times recently – all the grumbles and technical deficiencies in the market are still there. But FI can get by just fine as long as people are confident.

There will still be the talk of FI betrayal and the need for FI to get more market makers on board. And we’ll still find no shortage of amateur Twitter “economists” throwing out as many buzzwords as possible.

But FI was never fundamentally broken. There is no real reason why traders cannot be the primary liquidity provider. There is no reason why you need a limited supply of shares in this football betting game with market elements. You can’t just copy and paste standard market theory over to it in all cases. It’s a unique beast.

All this stuff is a distraction. Traders can be the main liquidity provider provided they are confident. It will require a new mentality because as traders are now realising – it is now possible to lose a bet. Badly. There’ll be no FI to pick up the pieces anymore. And I expect this fact will usher in a new era of more sensible trading.

The Instant Sell prices are only there whilst traders remain confident. If confidence evaporates then so will those prices. That’s a big change because previously FI would always stand behind the price.

There is a need for more market maker activity as they will help make sure we never reach a point again where confidence gets as low as it has been. And we do want NASDAQ to come in to professionalise the whole operation.

But we can soldier on as we are for the foreseeable and we don’t need anyone to ride to the rescue. As long as confidence exists – so will liquidity. And the niggles with the platform will fade into the background.

Given a couple more weeks of green numbers all this talk of market mechanics and grumbling at FI will settle down – it’s already starting to – people have very short memories in my experience.

Market Watch

The market is just looking so much healthier than it did a week or two ago. We’ve had the long absent Blue Button price rises which is nice to see. 

But the most important thing is that the vast majority of players at least in the top 200 have some kind of Instant Sell price now. In fact the vast majority of players over £1 do.

This does wonders for confidence. If traders know they can sell, even if it is for a bit of a hit, they are so much more likely to trade and invest more in the platform too.

As of right now I can only find 7 of the top 200 without an Instant Sell price and they are some of the more obscure ones who don’t have a great claim to being up there anyway.

Just two weeks ago it was probably harder to find a player with an Instant Sell price. Dramatic changes.

Let’s take a look at what is pushing prices around right now.

It’s a pretty clear answer – big performances are driving prices. Players who win or look close to wins are doing very well on the market. Particularly when they were recently unpopular and therefore cheap. 

I’ve been highlighting this theme all week – when we have players who are looking strong in their underlying numbers but are currently out of favour – the reward for trusting the match data and staying patient can be very, very high. 

Just ask holders of Bruno, Pepe, Mahrez, Griezmann, Hazard, Kroos, Demirbay, Cavani and others. None of these players were doing as badly as recent sentiment has suggested. They were obviously undervalued.

It’s crucial to get Scouting right at the moment and pick out those likely winners before they happen, not after. This is the sort of market I tend to do extremely well in because of the extensive effort that goes into player research. Picking out the likely winners isn’t magic, just probability.

There is also just a general dragging up effect that is still going on as the market rebounds. In recent months I’ve suggested focusing on the more “obvious” picks – players generally known to be good quality or just popular who can easily bounce back naturally with the market without having to do anything special.

And that’s definitely been happening – often with a mixed level of accuracy about who is actually good or not as per usual. There will definitely still be mileage in this “don’t think too hard” strategy but we will have to work harder and harder to find the value as the market rises.

For the players dropping in price it’s fairly simple too this week. Players who are thought to be performing poorly are dropping hard. Again – so crucial to know the difference between a bad player and out of fashion player to navigate this.

If we don’t, we can sell next weeks winner for a pittance (Mahrez, Kroos, Hazard, Demirbay?). 

And we could also fail to drop genuine under performers. Hakimi is a good example – I highlighted that he was going to struggle at Inter weeks ago now. 

It wasn’t a bad decision to go for him initially but at £3.50+ he had a lot do and there were very clear early signs in his opening games that he might struggle.

Through ignorance, anyone still holding has cost themselves the difference between selling at maybe £3.20 to selling at maybe £1.77 now – and that’s a self inflicted wound.

In some cases in 2020 – you could spot a player was underperforming but the IS price was so low you couldn’t really do much about it. Not so with Hakimi – he was popular yet underperforming and that’s something you want to take swift action on if you can.

The more the market recovers – the more attention we want to pay to this. It was easy to get a bit hopeless and lethargic in 2020 because you couldn’t always fix a problem even if you knew about it. As the market recovers – we will be able to fix problems if we act on the right information.

These drops also present opportunities. Some people are selling players who are not far away from wins just because they are out of fashion or haven’t put up a big score recently. Often to chase rises in players who did win – when actually there isn’t a great deal of difference in quality between the two. This is awful trading – literally the definition of selling low and buying high.

The difference between a big score and not can be a whisker as we know from Scouting – so where we know this is happening we might have found our next opportunity to profit from another big bounce back. We’ve seen plenty of those this week and I think we are about to see many more.

Olmo, Alexis Sanchez. Chiesa. Reguilon. Icardi. Richarlison. James Rodriguez. Thiago. Barella. Palacios. Renato Sanches. Ziyech. All getting some 5-10% drops this week and not really doing much wrong. Dybala has been savaged too but he can win any game he plays very easily. 

Someone like Sabitzer. Boga. Hakan. Cancelo. Goretzka. Coutinho. Werner. Gnabry. Can all be the winner that bounces back this week or next they are not far away.

Overall – despite the market bounce back – this is still overwhelmingly a buyers market. The recovery is still young. We aren’t even close to the value being eaten up yet. And I think it will be a long, long time before we reach a point where we are struggling to find genuine value in the market. Maybe not even this season.

Where players are popular though we are having to up our bids a bit – buyers don’t entirely get it their own way anymore. Holders can afford to be a bit more stubborn when a player is very obviously in form.

Some Actual Trading

 

For much of 2020 we’ve often had limited options. Getting any kind of acceptable sell price was often just not possible, leaving us holding players we’d have normally have been freely trading.

But opportunities to trade are really opening up so it feels like a good time to focus on practical examples of the sorts of trades we might be making now. I’ve certainly had quite a few email questions on this so this is member inspired and thank you for that.

Let’s look at 4 example types of trades that I think are important areas of the market to focus on right now and probably for the weeks ahead.

Premium and Core Player Trades

In the last month or so I’ve been suggesting targetting premiums, core and other generally “obvious” kinds of players. Simply because if/when the market recovered – they would naturally get a bounce back without really having to do too much.

For many such obvious players that has paid off in recent weeks – where you have a popular player at rock bottom all it takes is a turn in the sentiment and they can do really well. 

Kimmich at £4.50 or under anyone? £5.86 to £6.20 now. Bruno at under £5.50? £8.32 to £8.75 now. Mbappé, Sancho, even Haaland – players I’d not normally be touching close to their highs could be had for closer to £5. And yet they are £7+ to £8+ now. They can be great trades at the right moment.

And obvious Core picks like Hakan, Lewandowski, Theo Hernandez, Grealish, Maddison, Gnabry, Chilwell. Most of these sorts of well known players have been doing well.

How well depends on performance. Hakan and Gnabry above seem out of form (even though both are doing fine as per Scouting) so will naturally find it harder at the moment. But as we have seen, any good player is just one win away from a really nice price bounce.

But even for the players who haven’t had a visible big Blue Button rise – if you were hoovering them up on cheap bids you are generally going to be enjoying yourself right now if using this strategy. 

There is still mileage in this “Premium/Core” strategy but we now have to be more selective. Some of them have risen sharply already and that means we have to consider the value carefully.

Judging Value

As readers will know I use two main measures of value. True Value – what we rationally should pay to expect a reasonable dividend return. And the more intuition based Market Value – what people are actually willing to pay right now. 

I find you need to have a decent idea of both in order to trade effectively. 

For example, right now I could say “Bruno is only £8.30 to £8.76, but I think his True Value is closer to £12 at least in this dividend structure.” So I could say – that means I should buy him because he’s undervalued. I wouldn’t be wrong. This isn’t bad trading. But it’s not particularly optimal either.

Is he the best value right now? Probably not.

Whilst he may be worth £12 nobody is going to be paying that anytime soon. They just don’t have to – there is clearly better value available elsewhere. 

It’s going to take time for some of the other players to catch up in price before people start pushing Bruno from £8.50 to £12 (which is eventually very likely assuming of course he maintains his 2020 level of performance or near enough). 

That might take 6 months or more though. I’m probably happy to hold him at a reasonable percent of portfolio value, certainly rather than sell for the current £8.30 which is a bit low. But I wouldn’t be making it my priority buy either.

So what I’m looking for here is primarily a “Core” type player who is looking strong in Scouting and close to winning. But I want him to be significantly under his True Value (Spoiler – they almost all are right now) but also less than other comparable players. 

Ideally, I want him to look dirt cheap in comparison to others so that when that win does come he bounces fast.

We don’t always have to bargain hunt in this category though. There is a case for paying a little more to add genuine quality when you want to build a portfolio with a solid foundation – someone like Chiwell for example is a touch more expensive than many but he is worth his cash, so that’s fine too.

Selection

There are still plenty of pretty obvious value targets around. Players who have high performance strength and a strong “full season fit” i.e lots of reasons to hold that player throughout the season, usually involvement with every major competition and/or a transfer at the season end.

At the Premium End – I could look at Neymar who at under £7 looks a steal. He’s been unlucky not to win recently, and will probably challenge strongly again soon. You can see him making it over £8 relatively quickly and you might get a dividend too.

Something like Kane, Rashford, Sterling. All obvious players Premium sort of players. It’s likely a good year for them with England in the Euros, they haven’t really risen in price much so far. All can easily do something to get back on the radar. All are reliable and a good age. You can see a fairly easy price rise sometime soon there.

There are also a bunch of pretty obvious “Core” performance sort of players who are doing well (even if they haven’t exploded recently) who remain at extreme value. 

Bear in mind that in this dividend structure we can rationally be paying £3.75 to £5 for a good 4 out of 5 stars performance player. And that’s for a good deal not even extreme upper end of what we could pay without dribbling on our touchscreens.

Any strong 3.5 out of 5 stars to 4 out of 5 stars or better player outside of the top 20 is going to be well under their True Value because of the doubling of dividends combined with the market crash. 

Berardi. Goretzka. Werner. Lewandowski (now he has dropped a bit – probably due to worry about being rested in the CL – but look at how many fixtures he’ll still have in the next 30 days!). Hakan, Guerreiro. Chilwell. Alberto. Curtis Jones. Richarlison. Cancelo. Kramaric. Pavard. I could list a couple of dozen more and there are so many of these in Scouting and the recent Europa/CL articles.

There is mileage in this Core player strategy for a good while yet – but we want to be more selective now and don’t push too hard for the stuff that has risen sharply already.

Before the Buy

We want to get a decent bid price if possible but unless the player is really unpopular we don’t want to be too cheap here.

A really tight spread might be a sign they are a bit too popular right now and there might be better value elsewhere.

With the real quality players that look close to wins – we don’t want to be too tight and hold out too long trying to get insultingly low bids matched anymore. Other people will eventually notice the value. And we definitely don’t want our target player to win before we get them.

It’s not a total buyers market – we’re often going to have to bid more than the minimum by at least a few pennies to get a match on a reasonably well known/popular player.

That’s ok – when quality players are often under half of their True Value like they are now – we don’t want to quibble over a few pennies a share. With good player selection you are likely fleecing anyone selling to you so it’s ok to encourage them a bit by upping the bid. If it’s not matched after a few hours or a day, maybe nudge it up a bit more.

The more the market recovers the more competitive we’ll have to be for popular players. Which in the end, is going to be good for everyone.

After the Buy

These are fairly easy trades to manage after the buy. If we’re buying high quality players at £2 or under and we think the real value might be closer to £4+ then we’ve put ourselves in a strong position.

We mainly just need to make sure that the reasons we bought stay true. Are they still performing week in week out? (using Scouting). Are they getting knocked out of any competitions anytime soon? (Using the Europa/CL reports). Do they have a transfer to keep an eye on? Ideally – with this sort of player a transfer is a nice potential bonus rather than a must have. (Transfer section will be updated soon by the way). 

Have they won more than they have a right to and spiked to a price way out ahead of other players of similar quality who haven’t won? Kimmich for example. Mega hot streak not long ago that was unlikely to be sustainable. He was good but he was also getting a lot of luck. In that scenario I’d likely cash in and move to a player who was also performing well but just wasn’t getting the luck.

That’s not a negative comment on Kimmich he may well justify his price in True Value terms. But we always want to be seeking the most optimal uses of our cash. It’s trading – we don’t want to cling to our players like an awkward fan. We can always come back to them later – every player will always have their moments where they go out of fashion.

Often – when our player has won and social media is gushing about how “essential” our Core player is and they have flown well ahead of other comparable players in price – that’s probably when we sell. From a position of strength.

Or, we will notice in some cases that our player has genuinely declined, or has lost a key reason we bought them. We may sell then even for a hit – but ideally spotting that as early as possible. Limiting this kind of damage is every bit as important as cashing a player for a big profit.

The Bounce Back Trade

Selection

This is very similar to the above premium/core pick trade – the type of player we are looking for is going to be the same. Strong performance player, lots of reasons to hold them throughout the season to come.

The key difference is mainly sentiment – these are not currently very popular players – generally considered to be underperforming. Yet, we will know from match data in Scouting that they are really not far away from wins.

There are lots of these at the moment and winners from this week like like Kroos, Demirbay, Mahrez would go here. There was awful sentiment around them a week ago but Mahrez as one example was looking really close to wins – it was possible to see this coming. The market was wrong to be so down on him – and we need to exploit these flaws in collective judgement.

And there are plenty more like that in Scouting that haven’t had their moment that is statistically likely to come before too long. 

Mount now. Immobile. Insigne. Sabitzer. Coutinho. James Rodriguez.  Trincao. Plea. Locatelli. Tons of options that are really not far away and could be bouncing back quite soon. The best thing? Even if they don’t, they have longer term prospects and you are getting them at value anyway.

These can be great bets because you might get that big initial win – but if you don’t – they are valid longer term options. These are really strong bets. This is the beauty of FI in a nutshell – we’re able to make bets with a ton of upside and minimal downside which is a rare thing indeed.

The cardinal rule with this sort of trade is when you think you know something most people don’t – use that information. If a player is looking close to wins and they are cheap because most people don’t know that – sign them up if you are going to. Do not wait for them to get that likely win before you buy. 

This is my personal pet peeve when I see traders doing this. 

One of the fundamental psychological problems the majority of traders seem to have on FI is this need to wait for reassurance from a big score before they buy. It’s hard – but we have to track down where this behaviour lives in our heads, dig it out, then drown it in the nearest canal.

The reassurance we crave comes from the real match data over consistent games – not just one big score we may see on a weekend. That big score may be well be incredibly unlikely to appear again anytime soon. It’s meaningless without supporting match data that can indicate consistency.

The mug traders who buy on the win fuel other people’s profits. I won’t complain because that’s where the majority of my profits have come from. But we don’t want to be one of them.

Before the Buy

We can usually be cut throat here – as the player is unpopular and on a downer we can probably get away with bidding at the minimum. 

If we’re not getting a bite within hours or a day we may have to accept that any remaining holders are probably being (correctly) stubborn and that those who want out are mainly out already. So at that point we may have to start upping our bid. 

Particularly if a juicy fixture is approaching – we don’t want that player to explode and we miss it for the sake of a few pennies.

After the Buy

Similar to Core picks really – we’re just monitoring them to see if they retain all the reasons we bought them in the first place.

If they win – we could cash out on a nice rise. We may also look at the game in Scouting and say you know what – they can win again. If they are looking really strong then it can be worth sticking with them.

One win can pump a price, but it can fade. But a player who wins 2-3 times in a month? They can really fly.

If we have an occasional winner like Trincao (who due to managed minutes isn’t likely to win twice in succession) I might cash that. If it’s Coutinho? Well he can string wins together so easily so I’d be more likely to stick around for that unless he’d reached a price way out of whack with other decent midfielders. 

But for him that takes a lot of doing – he’s £1.47 Blue Button right now and he’d need to reach £4 or more before I thought he’d run out of road on True Value and £2.50 before I’d start to seriously wonder whether he’s getting too expensive compared to others. Such is the value available in this market right now.

The IPD Rotation Trade

“IPD player” is a lazy but useful term for players we are buying primarily for IPD, and tend to be shorter term trades.

Of course, almost any good performance player will be pulling in serious IPD too. And you can refresh them in the same way should a good opportunity arise. However the more expensive the player the less likely I am to do this. It just costs more in commission and there are fine margins in it. 

This is uniquely profitable right now as whilst in normal circumstances we may only see 4-6 games in a month we are currently seeing 6-10 – it’s just flat out more chances to win and more value than we really have a rights to in a 30 day window.

Combine that with current rock bottom market prices and you can see how this is just so profitable. 

You can be picking up strikers who routinely deliver 6-8 goals/assists a month for 60-90p at times. That can be a 16p or more dividend – possibly a 15-30% return in a single month on a player that you can probably resell for a similar price before too long.

Let’s just stop and marvel at that. Because it’s as close to printing free money as you are likely to see. And it will not last forever – it’s just too good. It’s unique to this season most likely.

Judging Value

We can be getting strong IPD picks for under £1.25 now so there is little reason to pay more than that. 

Morata. Yedder. Andre Silva. Belotti. These are reliable players that can be expected to score plenty in a month. And reselling will rarely be a problem because even if they get injured or you are otherwise stuck with them – chances are they will have their moment again when fit and the fixtures/form line up. 

As long as you are getting a cheap bid there is little to fear with this sort of player as long as the player has a long contract. It should not be possible to get such players this cheaply – but right now it is. 

As we get towards £1.50 and above – we can still IPD trade – but I’d want a very popular player with a reliably tight spread that also has a good chance of performance wins to sweeten the deal. Lukaku or Lewandowski would be good examples.

Selection

This is pretty easy. With all the noise of performance scoring taken out you are really just looking at goal and assist potential combined with a soft run of fixtures. 

We’re looking for goals and assists at a value price, and the more popular the better because we want liquidity. That’s why I’d go for a Morata or a Yedder or Bamford over someone like Dia at Reims. Dia is perfectly good but more people are likely to notice when a bigger name scores and it might help us sell later.

We want to avoid players who could crash with no hope of recovery. If Morata is injured during my 30 day window… I’ve got a good chance he’ll recover eventually. If I’m trying to IPD trade Zlatan and he crocks himself… I’m really stuck. Just don’t invite that kind of bad “luck” in my opinion.

Before the Buy

If we time it right we can probably take advantage of predictable sellers to get a good deal for players like this.

If Morata blanks in a big CL game for example, it shouldn’t be a problem to get a pretty low bid matched on him after the game or the day after. What we don’t want to be doing is bidding on him the day before the game.

There is a very predictable sort of trader who does this – either because they fancy themselves a day trader or they just want a dog in the fight for tonight’s match. These guys can be freely exploited that’s the game we play.

Nor do we want to try to line up a “perfect” 30 day fixture window where we plan to buy on the exact day that will maximise the number of games. Sounds logical but lots of people will try to do it and it’s therefore not optimal.

For example I made quite a few IPD rotation buys early in the international break when IPD buyers had sold because of a lack of games. What do they do when the games are back? They pile in for their IPD window but I’ve already picked them up cheap in the lull and they are now following me in.

After the Buy

I’ve got options. If I’ve bought at a low bid at a good time, others may follow me in and I may not even need to wait for the game to bank a profit. I could sell in the build up to the next match.

More likely with an in form player, I’d stick in for 2-3 games of that 6-10 game window and hopefully use a good performance as an opportunity to sell at a tight spread, and potentially a bit higher than I bought for. 

I may rebuy and refresh my 30 day window. Or I may decide to rotate out to a different target who by then may be at a lower price or have better fixtures.

I think the key with this is not to bite off more than you can chew. 

This all sounds great – but we’re having to work for our money here. It takes time, you have to trade quite actively, monitor good times to buy and sell.

With 4-5 players at a time, most people can probably manage. Beyond that… if you have a real job then you might start missing things and slipping up.

In a 40 player portfolio… as a general guide for most people – having maybe 3-5 rotation slots that you fill with whatever players you like best at any one time is about right to make the most of this unique set of circumstances where IPD is especially profitable.

 

The Long Ranger

If we have all the Premium/Core picks we want, and we’ve got some IPD rotation options (or can’t be bothered with them) we may want to branch out a little. 

You can have too much of a good thing, even now. I love a good Core pick and the value available there is huge, but let’s not forget that what is in and out of fashion changes incredibly quickly.

With a little bit of patience, long range selections in transfer trades or high potential youth players can net us massive percentage gains, and if we plant some seeds now we may end up very happy with these trades in 6 months or so’s time, often sooner. 

These can be players that might be seemingly languishing in a portfolio at the moment, but it won’t take much to revive them. We may even be tempted to get rid of them but we may want to think twice in some cases.

Selection

At the moment we’ll be expecting to pay rock bottom prices for players like this who are currently out of the limelight but have a reason they might get attention in future.

What immediately springs to mind is the wonderkids, particularly from ineligible leagues but not always. Gravenberch. Gakpo. Malen. Ihattaren. Ekkelenkamp. Neres. Tsygankov. Stengs. Or someone like Barrenetxea or even the now forgotten Esposito. Maybe Thiago Almada. 

Some of these are essentially toxic right now when it comes to trend fit. But is that going to be the case forever? It’s highly unlikely. Having a batch of well selected players of this sort could be very profitable in the months ahead. 

It’s hard to predict exactly when the latest wave of mania for such players can sweep FI – better to be ready for it than chasing it. 

These are more transfer orientated. We can also go for some of the occasional here and now winners. 

Weston McKennie. Weah (if he ever starts!). Hudson-Odoi. Kephren Thuram. Brahim Diaz. Neuhaus. Willock. 

The win may take it’s sweet time coming – but if it came – it would make a big impact both in the dividend and the potential price jump. And you only need 1 win in a season for it to be worth it for players at this price.

Speculating on youth is perfectly rational behaviour provided we are getting rock bottom prices and we’re targetting players who have a real shot. It only becomes a problem when we start paying too much for them after the rise.

And it’s not just the wonderkids. Transfer players in general who are out of fashion at the moment can easily swing back into contention or just generally get a boost from a transfer. 

Eriksen. Possibly Griezmann. Everton Soares. Grimaldo. Hakan. Milinkovic-Savic. Moussa Dembelé. Fabian Ruiz. Aouar. 

In this batch of players “Long Ranger” players we are likely to be find some of the best profits of the next 6 months – precisely because they are currently very unpopular.

As long as we are getting a cheap price from someone desperate to sell what appears to many to be a hopeless player – that can put the risk versus reward calculation firmly in our favour. 

Before the Buy

We can probably bully a bit here. We’re abusing the unpopularity of the player plus we aren’t in a major rush – we’re not exactly expecting big wins in the next game. 

We can take our time and bid the bare minimum, only going up if we haven’t had a bite in a few days.

After the Buy

These are quite low maintenance, longer term trades for the most part. Until they aren’t. As a transfer window gets into swing we want to be much more careful if the move heavily rests on that.

Carrying them into a transfer window where the final decision may actually get made is a risky play. 

Transfer trading during the window should mainly be left to the mugs. Good transfer traders are like a good club chairman – they wrap up the vast majority of their business nice and early. 

If in doubt – I’d say if you can bank a price rise resulting from a move then do so – don’t risk the transfer collapsing and don’t trust the player to immediately hit the ground running at his new club. We know how fast confidence drains in a player if they don’t deliver straight away.

It’s very rare when I do that. Bruno Fernandes as readers from the January transfer window earlier in the year will recall – I was very sticky on him and would not put him down even when the market turned against him.

My reasoning was that even if the Manchester United transfer collapsed I still felt he would be value even at a different club, or even if I had to wait for another window. 

And I felt he was so strong that he could punch through even the usually tepid Old Trafford performance numbers. 

Most of the time – I wouldn’t do that. Only when the player is truly exceptional. 

The only similar incoming players to the EPL would probably be Werner and Havertz. Both of whom could well justify their starting price tags in the £4-6 range and still may do eventually. Neither have done terribly – but they haven’t returned immediately and now find themselves under £3. 

Players with high expectations and high price tags at new clubs will fail to deliver immediately more often than not. If in doubt – I’d take my profit and re-evaluate. You can always go back to them later.

Final Thoughts

The market recovery has sustained so far but is still very young. 

I wouldn’t be too upset if it wasn’t bounding ahead quite like now – provided the spreads keep closing up that’s the main thing.

It’s a market driven by results – and it’s great to see good selections coming through and then finally getting rewarded on match days consistently this week.

I expect that to continue and there should be heavy rewards ahead for the players that win, particularly if we can identify the players who are currently unpopular but may bounce back.

So the focus rightly should be on players who are likely to win soon, and there’s no shortage of games to scout at the moment to increase our chances.

But I also thinks it’s good to have some IPD rotation players and the “Long Range” sorts of picks I’ve described above. 

It’s highly likely that many of today’s most unpopular players will turn out to be the most profitable players 3-6 months from now. 

Happens all the time.

I’ll be back from tomorrow with more CL/Europa match reviews. And I also want to fit in some January transfer stuff soon too.

Best,

FIT

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