It is very unlikely Dortmund part with Sancho in January – it’s more one for Summer. 

But the story isn’t going anywhere, and the transfer window will be an excuse to dig it up which may result in some decent media for holders. 

What we may see if anything is some kind of pre-agreement with the move to United going through next Summer but being signed in January. 

That would actually be great for holders – since he’ll get a long honeymoon period where there is anticipation of the move yet he won’t actually have to do anything to prove himself at United for some time.

Last January, I thought speculating on Sancho at £6-7 was fine – in anticipation of hype driving that price up towards Summer. The trick was not holding too long and getting caught up in that hype ourselves. 

With that price now having tanked back under £6 today but with all the same transfer rumours ahead there is a much stronger case for going for it again now.

There is unlikely to be a better time to bet on the move, and the odds of anything concrete being settled in January are low. That’s potentially a good long period of speculation ahead.

Form this season is mixed, but he can win performance at Dortmund. He’s been improving lately and I don’t think a mediocre season will put buyers off too much. If he dips off again it might be a problem but we can deal with that with vigilant scouting.

We’re also at the stage where under £6 is not a totally outrageous price for him even if he did stay at Dortmund – so it’s not overwhelmingly dependant on the move happening anymore.

This is how I like to trade Sancho – there are good times to hold him and bad times to hold him. There is no need to be a fan or a hater – just time it right. This is the right time to go for it if you are going to in my opinion. 

But it is far from an essential trade – if this goes really well you may double money over the next 6 months but there are other options, many of which can do that in a much shorter time frame.

If however you think you might hate to see Sancho rise and get that fear of missing out it may just be better to sign him up whilst he’s on the downer.

This sorry saga may get a happy ending as Eriksen has a reasonable chance of getting a decent January move. 

He could have been a top performance player at Inter, and showed that in his numbers when he was on the pitch. But it became clear that Conte just does not like him and if you aren’t on the pitch – you ain’t going to win.

Some decent links – Arsenal, PSG, Manchester United (though every player is linked to Manchester United for click bait purposes I don’t always take that too seriously). 

But a move is credible and he’s just 28 years old and in his prime. Remains a strong performance player so if he landed anywhere good like PSG that could be a big deal.

Arsenal is ok – and brings Spurs versus Arsenal media potential. And in his usual position he could challenge from Arsenal too. Manchester United a dream ticket obviously.

With negativity so high and him available for £1 and under I think this is a solid bet. Even if he doesn’t move, he’ll likely get his chance again next Summer. And there are some very enticing positive outcomes to this story.

Most traders will be adverse to things like this – until events force their hand anyway. But this is the sort of trade that is going to deliver the biggest (and possibly swiftest) gains in the months ahead – where we are scooping up an out of favour but high potential player at a rock bottom price.

This could be a big one. An EPL move has long been anticipated and come close before. But he has been loyal to Juventus – not that this loyalty has been particularly repaid he still struggles for minutes.

26 years old now and he can’t wait any longer if he wants to realise his potential. So that makes me feel like a move is likely.

The Pogba swap deal is the latest. Not impossible. But he gets links to just about every big EPL club going including Liverpool and Chelsea too.

The current £1.69 to £1.94 price is just far too negative – an over reaction to short term difficulty.

Even now in the games he gets he is very close to winning for Juventus and could do so any week.

And a realistic price ceiling in the EPL? It’s high. He has the potential to justify being one of the top 5 most expensive FI players. 

If he gets a decent club and regular minutes he can pull in the performance and he’d be a big media draw too. 

And if he ends up staying at Juventus… even as a rotation player for this money it’s still value. 

Dembele’s fall from grace is astonishing and to me this feels like a massive market overreaction to a missed transfer and being out of favour at Lyon.

To be well under £1 now from over £3+ in May with none of the reasons that made him potentially that valuable having changed… it’s pretty crazy.

He’s still very highly regarded and could very easily drop on a move to a big club, possibly the EPL or even La Liga.

And the price is now so low that pretty much wherever he ends up playing you are going to be getting IPD value at minimum if he maintains anything close to his usual level. Even if it’s a relatively mediocre club. 

A bit of a head scratcher that this is even possible – a cheap bid here could be a very, very shrewd pick up. It can go extremely well if the right move happens either in January or by Summer – and even if it doesn’t the scenarios that make him worth less than 75p or so are just… very unlikely.

Struggling recently due to poor Lyon and form and an arguably overblown perception that he’ll struggle at Barcelona when he has to play alongside Messi. 

Performance wise he has improved in the last couple of games as covered in Scouting.

As for Barcelona – who knows what will happen there. Messi may even not be there. I am not too stressed about this because Depay is not entirely penalty reliant – he is a strong player and can succeed in a range of positions across the front 3.

It may not even be Barcelona – Juventus are linked too. And Barcelona are not exactly cash rich – nor do they even have a President until right near the end of the window – making any big new signings difficult.

Depay has been particularly hard hit in the last month – and that price fall takes the headache out of all this will he or won’t he stuff.

For £1.57 to £1.79 at present – it’s really hard to see any credible outcome where he cannot justify at least that. I’d be optimistic on this from here, or indeed anything under £2.50 to £3.

Another down and out. But is it all that bad?

We are talking about a player who not so long ago was a very, very big name star. And he’s still just 28. He has seriously struggled under Zidane but he’s not had many chances and he’s not the only struggler at Real this season.

In performance terms – given a full game – he is really not far away from being an FI contender. I rate him if he was given a regular berth at a decent club.

The move looks likely for January – and he seems to want out. 

Arsenal are the biggest rumour which would be a decent move. At 28 years old and just 51p on a bid or thereabouts though – holders don’t really need to be picky about the destination club.

But if it was EPL you can see him being £1 pretty easily, maybe even more. Potentially huge gains in picking up these out of favour but strong potential players precisely because most are too afraid to do it.

Martinez is a fine goalscorer – no doubt about that. He is however an awful performance player and is always likely to be. 

So to really justify a big price tag – he’s going to need an EPL move to try to add significant media to his IPD appeal.

This is why I thought his £3.50+ valuation in hope of a Real Madrid move was all kinds of crazy. Holding that is just a bet you cannot win unless you come out early. A question of when, not if, that price will crash. Lunatics.

However, with his new slimmed down price tag it becomes a much easier decision. For £1.12 to £1.45 – he can pull more than his weight in IPD at Inter.

So you’ve now got a situation where you can hold him and rotate him for IPD in the window – and if you hit a nice transfer for him like Manchester City either now or in Summer – you’ve got your jackpot. And it costs you very little since he already justifies this price. 

Lovely.

Fat chance of this happening in January. 

But. Summer is more feasible. And he really isn’t bad as a hold at Leicester for this money.

I was never keen on this at £4-5 that was just way too much – and it’s exactly the sort of wild speculation on highly priced transfers that has been heavily punished.

But price changes everything. 

Anything under £2 for Maddison is a clear steal. He’s 23. Justifies that value already at Leicester. Can improve and get a big move. 

Over negativity like this can be taken advantage of.

This is one of those “shot to nothing” transfer trades that I like.

There is no real stress on timing the window here. If he doesn’t move – he’s great value at Barcelona. If he comes to the EPL – potential jackpot. 

I’d be happy to take him anyway on recent Barcelona form. So to have a big potential transfer boost too is fantastic.

The main issue for him is whether he can stay fit. Not something we can do a great deal about but I think for £1 or so the odds are firmly in the holders favour here.

A high potential, low stress pick.